女士們，先生們，

你們好！謝謝合作！

經(jīng)歷過極端多雨的2023年秋季、冬季，以及2024年的春季，我們迎來一個非常不平凡的收獲季節(jié)。難以忘懷，體現(xiàn)于作物生產(chǎn)的方方面面。

在我們2024年3月、4月、6月的市場通訊中，及近期的交流中，我們已經(jīng)解釋了郁金香種球供應(yīng)少的原因。

1 因為2023年的作物差導(dǎo)致籽球缺乏，以及鐮刀菌的影響，導(dǎo)致2024年的種植面積下降5%。

2 自1974年以來最差的種植季節(jié)發(fā)生了，源于2023年秋季、冬季歷史性的降雨。

3 歐洲及其它國家極高的郁金香鮮花價格。

4 相對溫暖的2023年冬季及2024年春節(jié)，導(dǎo)致田野里的郁金香生長發(fā)育早。

5 4、5、6月持續(xù)的降雨及冰雹。

6 地里的郁金香開花不整齊，以及很多田地出現(xiàn)水患。

2024年的春季（3、4、5月）是荷蘭125年來最潮濕、最溫暖的春季。平均溫度11.8℃高于9.9℃的長期平均溫度。最潮濕，體現(xiàn)在262mm的降雨量，高于142mm的長期平均降雨量。

2024年4月郁金香開花不規(guī)則且早。多雨而涼爽的5月通常是有助于郁金香生長的，地里不會收到高溫及強光的影響，然而，很多地都被雨水和冰雹破壞了。我們看到，同一塊地里生長差異非常大。多雨且涼爽的天氣持續(xù)到6月。

因為溫暖的春季導(dǎo)致郁金香生長早，收獲也早。一方面，持續(xù)的降雨導(dǎo)致嚴(yán)重的灰霉病，另一方面秋季的多雨導(dǎo)致根生長很差。收獲早，通常意味著收獲結(jié)果差。由于雨依然持續(xù)，收獲困難。所有的種植地，無論是粘土地，還是砂土地，無論是南北，還是東西，收獲結(jié)果令人非常失望。在種植區(qū)域Hillegom、Breezand，對于那些沒有生長出規(guī)格12/+，以及非常少量的規(guī)格為11/12的郁金香種球的土地，完完全全就是災(zāi)難。我們最好的種球生長者，告知我們，印象系列郁金香以及其它達(dá)爾文郁金香，根據(jù)不同的種球規(guī)格，有30-70%的缺口。

缺額如此之多，甚至缺口來自于我們優(yōu)選的、長期最信賴的種球生產(chǎn)者。2023年已經(jīng)是歷史很差的收獲季了，欠收約20%的可銷售的郁金香種球，根據(jù)這個比例，計算出2023年少收10億個郁金香種球。2024年甚至更差，我們預(yù)計欠收40%，相當(dāng)于約20億個郁金香商品種球缺失。

許多老一些的郁金香種球生產(chǎn)者說，今年的收獲結(jié)果比60年前的1963年還要差。平均來算，種球生產(chǎn)者損失15000歐元/公頃，源于成本的增加以及收入的減少。而且，因為多雨，我們很擔(dān)心種球的質(zhì)量，特別是鐮刀菌和腐爛。市場上有限的在售種球已經(jīng)天價。

附原文，改文發(fā)自2024年8月1日收到作者的電子郵件。

August 2024

Dear Madam/Sir,

Thank you for your usual cooperation.

After an extremely rainy autumn, winter and spring, we are having a very unusual harvest season. A year to never forget, in all aspects of the growing.

In our previous growing and market reports of March, April, and June 2024, and in our other recent communications, we explained the reasons for the limited availability of tulip bulbs as follows:

1.     The planted acreage decreased by almost 5%, due to the lack of planting stock as a result of the poor crop results of 2023 and numerous fusarium quality problems.

2.     The worst planting season since 1974 due to historically heavy rainfall last autumn and winter.

3.     Extremely high tulip flower prices in Europe and many other countries.

4.     Relatively warm weather in winter and spring, causing early growing in the fields.

5.     Continuous rainfall and even hail in April, May and June.

6.     Irregular flowering of the fields and much water damage.

Spring (March, April and May) in the Netherlands in 2024 was the warmest and wettest in 125 years. The average temperature was 11.8oC instead of the long-standing average of 9.9oC. It was also the wettest, with 262 mm instead of an average 142 mm of rainfall. You can find the monthly updated weather data on our website 2024 | Weer | Jan de Wit en Zonen B.V.

The tulips flowered irregularly but quite early in April. The rainy and cool weather in May was basically good for tulip growing. The fields did not suffer from high temperatures or strong sunshine. However, many fields had damage from water and hail. The differences in growth per field can vary a lot. The cool and rainy weather continued into June.

The growers started harvesting early because of the warm spring with early growth. The fields died quickly because of the poor rooting in autumn and severe botrytis due to persistent rainfall.  An early harvest is usually a bad harvest. The harvesting was difficult as the rain still continued. The harvest  results are very disappointing from our growers from all major production areas, both on clay and sandy soils, south and north, east and west. There are complete disasters with fields producing no 12/+ and very little 11/12. From the sandy soils, both in Hillegom and Breezand, our top growers informed us of the Impression series and other Darwin hybrid varieties with shortages ranging from 30-70%, depending on the size.

There are many shortages, even from our selected, long-term, most reliable tulip growers. Crop 2023 was already a historically bad harvest with a shortage of around 20% of commercial tulip bulbs. If you calculate this over the total tulip production, this was an estimated shortage of more than 1 billion tulips. The results of crop 2024 are even worse, and we now estimate a shortage of around 40%, which amounts to a shortage of more than 2 billion tulip bulbs.

Some older tulip growers say the harvest results are even worse than in 1963, more than 60 years ago. On average, the tulip bulb growers are losing 15,000 euros per ha due to the increased growing costs and reduced income. Moreover, we are concerned about bulb quality under these rainy conditions, especially for fusarium and rot. The bulb prices for the limited remaining quantities have become sky-high.

Anyhow, under these difficult circumstances, we would like to keep in touch with you as much as possible by phone, video calls, e-mail, etc., and through our livestreams. We would like to invite you to follow us on our social media for updates on our activities, photos, etc. You can find our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/jandewitenzonen/, our Instagram page at www.instagram.com/jandewitenzonen/ and our YouTube channel at https://www.youtube.com/user/jandewitenzonenbv. We also recommend visiting our website www.jandewitenzonen.com for information and photos. You can always contact us for a personal video meeting. 

Please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any questions. We appreciate your kind understanding and patience.           

Best regards, 

Jan de Wit